Article Summaries, present to past
Is it true, does Statistics Canada consider BC Stats' population methods to be of "better quality"? January 2012
However, Statistics Canada's Demography Division says that they did not review BC Stats' use of the change in telephone landlines hookups to estimate population change .
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What to Look For in the 2011 Census. January 2012
Population Signatures comparing changes in age distribution with previous census years can reveal important information about the change in number of people by age and sex for communities, towns, cities, regions, and provinces.
Population Signatures can provide relevant information when considering school openings and closures.
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BC Population Change, 3rd Quarter, 2011. December 2011.
Not since 2001, has BC's summer time net interprovincial migration been negative. For the third quarter in a row, more people moved out of BC, to other places in Canada, than moved in.
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BC Population Change, 2nd Quarter, 2011. October 2011.
Preliminary population estimates suggest BC's economic bust continues. For the second quarter in a row, more people moved out of BC, to other places in Canada, than moved in.
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SUCCESS AT LAST! Now, BC Stats Must Allow Verification of Population Numbers. September 22, 2011.
After 13 years, the BC provincial government Official Statistical agency, BC Stats, under new management, has revised the population estimatioin methods paper. Why were the many changes to the population estimation model after 2001 not made public?
The substandard population estimate and forecasts methods influenced decision making regarding the opening and closing of public and private facilities including health and education facilities. Since 2001, nearly 200 public schools have been closed in BC.
Read more ... with link to a letter to the new Provincial Statistician & Executive Director, BC Stats, Ministry of Labour, Citizens' Services and Open Government, Angelo Cocco.
Population Geography and Demography, Similarities and Differences, August 2011.
Some Demographers still look at migration as a residual. Population Geographers help illuminate "in" and "out" migration, by age and sex, providing insight into changes in social and economic activity.
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Open Data Education portal/website: Verification and Reliability, July 2011.
The government is opening up access to information, but is it reliable?
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BC Population Change, 1st Quarter, 2011. June 2011.
Interprovincial migration negative once again. Not since 2003, have more people moved out of, than in to, BC.
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InterProvincial Migration, Net, BC, 1971 to 2010, (July 1). May 2011.
Boom and Bust economic cycle comparison.
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Quarterly BC Population Change for 2010: Net International Migration is negative in the last quarter of 2010, April 2011.
With the decline in fertility and increase in deaths, fluctuations in net migration could mean the difference between population growth or population declines for BC. In the last quarter of 2010, net interprovincial migration continued to decline while net international migration was negative.
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BC Population Change, Regional Districts, 2009 to 2010, February 2011
Here you will find the descriptions of the factors of population change, including natural changes, (births minus deaths), as well as net migration (interprovincial and intraprovincial) for BCs RDs for the year from July 1, 2009 to June 30, 2010.
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BC school closures needs independent reviews, January 2011
An examination of the data used to justify the recommendation to close the only high school in Qualicum Beach BC highlights the importance of communities / tax-payers having access to information. Here is a summary of the author's Information Session presentations.
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Parksville Census Agglomeration Population Projections, June, 2010
What will the age distribution look like in 2016?
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Population Compendium, June, 2009
Why is distribution of the Annual Demographics Compendium being restricted?
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2008 Population Change, BC, April 2009
Boom time comes to an end again. How long will the down turn last?
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2008 Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas, not published, March 2009
Why hasn't Statistics Canada's released the Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas numbers? Take a look and you will see that there is no output posted in late January or early February 2009 for estimates dated 2003 to 2008.
Which Country Won the Most Medals per Population at the 2008 Summer Olympics? September 2008
This article examines the number of medals won by countries relative to the total population, and whether population density makes a difference.Read more ..., (pdf)
BC’s Boom and Bust Economy, 1978 to 2006, August 2008
Does BC still have a boom and bust economy? How do we measure boom and busts? Understanding economic cycles, and what interrupts them, helps refine decision making.
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Income and Housing: Urban/Rural Differences/Similarities, June 2008
Housing similarities between largest cities and distant North. Article in Beacon.Read more ...
School Age Population Change in BC and Canada, 1971 to 2007, May 2008
The 2001 census results showed that in Canada, the number of children under 5 years of age declined by 221,545, between 1996 and 2001, almost a quarter of a million fewer children. The much anticipated 2006 census revealed that between 2001 and 2006 the population decline for those under 5 slowed considerably to just 5,745 fewer children. What does the population change look like for BC. Article in Beacon.Read more ...
Immigration and Labour, April 2008
The Minister of Citizenship and Immigration can now admit whoever and how many ever people she/he wants to come into Canada.
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Migration to the Nanaimo Regional District, March 2008
The 2006 Census mobility release provides an estimate of the number of people 5 years of age and older who moved between Census Divisions in Canada (Regional Districts in BC) between 2001 and 2006 (20% sample). The Nanaimo Regional District (RDN), on the east coast of Vancouver Island, is attractive to people in Canada for many reasons including it's relatively warm climate.
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Map of Migration to the Nanaimo Regional District 2001 to 2006, March 2008.
Map of internal migration (within Canada) to the Nanaimo Regional District between 2001 and 2006 (20% sample).
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Aboriginal Identity Reflects Maturing Society, February 2008
Acceptance and cooperation promoted by people of mixed European and Aboriginal ancestry helps make Canada a healthy society. Article in Beacon.
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Global and Local Population Change, January 2008
How does Parksville/Qualicum reflect global population change? It leads Canada as an aging population...something the rest of Canada will go through over the next thirty years. Presentation to Parksville and Qualicum Beach Chambers of Commerce.
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Migration, 2006 Census release, December 2007
Canada is a nation of movers. BC has more residential mobility then Canada as a whole, and the Parksville Census Agglomeration (Oceanside) has even more. The Parksville CA can be characterized as a high turn over community. What does that mean? Weaker social networks and greater reliance on public and privates services.
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Central Vancouver Island, 2006 Census Age Distribution, August 2007
Add to the oscillation in age distribution, the boom and bust nature of a resource based economy, and variations in migration for people of different age groups, Central Vancouver Island is far from a stable community but rather can be best described as a dynamic, fluctuating, high turnover region.
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Population Change in BC between 2001 and 2006, April 2007
The "Boom" time varies across BC, highlighting the end of population expansion and the beginning of contraction.
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Migration between Core and Peripheral Areas, 2005
Fundamentals of booms and busts in economic activity (written while employed as the Population Analyst - BC provincial expert on migration).
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Where do the Children Play, BC, Canada, 2005
Migration of females of reproductive age in BC (written while employed as the Population Analyst - BC provincial expert on migration).
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Intraprovincial Migration, 2004
A closer look at migration between Core and Periphery (written while employed as the Population Analyst - BC provincial expert on migration).
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Spheres of Influence, April 2000
Testing Alternative Indicators of Social and Economic Integration used to delineate Census Metropolitan Areas / Metropolitan Influence Zones (self-directed graduate studies project with the Geography Division of Statistics Canada).
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Infant Mortality Rates, December 1999
Model to interpret variations in Infant Mortality. Defence spending versus education as well as Urban / rural interactions are used as indicators to juxtapose Will versus Reason as well as Structure in relation to Processes. An interaction effect is found where infant mortality rises rapidly where defence spending is high in counties with a high proportion of rural dwellers. These indicators explain ~80% of the variation in IMR (graduate level statistics course term project).
(Read more ...pdf)
Reference from Professor T. A. Nosenchuk, Ph.D. (teacher in the love of wisdom).
(Read more ...pdf)